0x37aB72D15cdccbB2df2545fE3A35077272C4931F-1772046279412

0x37ab72...c4931f

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.5%

Total P&L

-$67

Trade Count

246

Sharpe Ratio

1.32

Sortino Ratio

221.26

Max Drawdown

2526.2%

ROI

-3.5%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.5¢	51.148	Mar 5
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	5.0¢	16.66	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	23.3¢	11.53	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	85.0¢	11.7	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	78.0¢	24.39	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.9¢	223.208	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	13.0¢	3.44	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	82.0¢	24.39	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	85.4¢	11.704	Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	23.9¢	83.75	Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	69.0¢	5.4	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	39.0¢	12.821	Mar 4
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	5.01	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	8.0¢	35.74	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	61.7¢	14.71	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	10.0¢	17.1	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	10.0¢	0.06	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	10.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	10.0¢	6.84	Mar 3
Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	SELL	98.3¢	5	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency40.5%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity246 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$2854d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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