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0x37d9e2...e94490

0x37d9e2...e94490
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
37.5%
Total P&L
-$8
Trade Count
39
Sharpe Ratio
0.58
Sortino Ratio
0.87
Max Drawdown
77.7%
ROI
-9.0%
Profit Factor
0.51
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?BUY75.0¢1.333Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?BUY63.0¢3.175Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY68.0¢1.471Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY76.0¢1.974Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY21.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL77.0¢3.37Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY63.0¢4Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY74.0¢3.378Mar 3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?SELL74.0¢3.62Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?BUY36.0¢8.333Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL21.0¢4.08Mar 3
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?BUY69.0¢3.623Mar 3
Will Iran strike Oman in March?SELL13.2¢9.2Mar 3
Will Iran strike Oman in March?BUY24.0¢9.208Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY49.0¢4.082Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY84.3¢3.559Mar 1
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL29.0¢5.88Mar 1
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?BUY67.0¢2.239Mar 1
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY34.0¢5.882Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL82.0¢4Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%4%10–20%11%20–30%30%30–50%26%50–70%15%70–80%15%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.3%
Win Consistency46.2%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity39 trades · 14 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$363d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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