0x37EA8cD1e66025E4f78301124F995E793d1dF395-1760018986718

0x37ea8c...1df395

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.9%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

3,982

Sharpe Ratio

1.84

Sortino Ratio

19.37

Max Drawdown

10.2%

ROI

25.1%

Profit Factor

3.34

Kelly Fraction

0.210

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

068.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	SELL	12.0¢	346.21	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	SELL	15.0¢	7.797	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	22.64	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	22.64	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	15.0¢	71	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?	BUY	14.0¢	75	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	69.05	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	29	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	58.778	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	10	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	5	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	6.08	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	45.005	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	140	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	29	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	47.545	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	100	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	200	Mar 4
Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.2¢	12.184	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active68.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)62.4%

Win Consistency58.1%

Profit Factor1.78

Drawdown Resilience1.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.44

Weekly Sharpe est.1.10

Trading Activity3,982 trades · 52 active days

P&L Calendar

$34624d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue