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0x382D35249574fF86886ace92480dAF7e5f03f412-1759193754404

0x382d35...03f412
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
12.5%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
28
Sharpe Ratio
3.35
Sortino Ratio
70.43
Max Drawdown
555.4%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.010
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY31.0¢16.129Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 6?BUY19.0¢26.316Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY8.2¢61.236Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?SELL10.0¢58.88Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?SELL9.0¢27.28Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?SELL36.1¢66.72Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY14.0¢28.714Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?SELL29.0¢13.88Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?BUY18.3¢27.284Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on March 5?BUY16.6¢30.167Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY36.0¢13.889Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY16.2¢30.886Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?BUY13.4¢37.425Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY24.0¢25Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?SELL30.0¢30.3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL99.8¢36.51Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY24.0¢41.724Mar 4
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY33.0¢30.303Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?BUY2.7¢36.517Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?SELL8.0¢28.82Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%17%< 10%44%10–20%11%20–30%22%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.9%
Win Consistency31.3%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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