0x384C209B0f5B62FC078CE5835aBBD8212DCc1D3e-1772156681974

0x384c20...cc1d3e

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.7%

Total P&L

+$143

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.21

Sortino Ratio

574.79

Max Drawdown

40.9%

ROI

67.3%

Profit Factor

26.76

Kelly Fraction

0.199

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

068.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	1.4¢	150	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	150	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	10.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	86	Mar 3
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	0.5¢	3.809	Mar 3
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	0.5¢	1.2	Mar 3
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	0.5¢	14.412	Mar 3
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	0.5¢	144.39	Mar 3
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	0.5¢	11.769	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	77.7¢	7.2	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	5.4¢	27.03	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	27.027	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	5.714	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	67.2¢	1.488	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	66.7¢	6.26	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	63.9¢	6.26	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	38.2¢	4.02	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	49.3¢	2.66	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	5.9¢	125	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.8¢	125	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active68.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)62.6%

Win Consistency58.1%

Profit Factor1.79

Drawdown Resilience1.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.44

Weekly Sharpe est.1.10

Trading Activity85 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

+$122d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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