0x38741e...b74cf1

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.1%

Total P&L

+$45

Trade Count

633

Sharpe Ratio

0.07

Sortino Ratio

0.05

Max Drawdown

2920.2%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

4.29

Kelly Fraction

0.752

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?	BUY	98.3¢	1.221	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C or below on March 6?	BUY	98.3¢	2.218	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.803	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.803	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.803	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.803	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.803	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.9¢	3.803	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	3.808	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	3.938	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	3.808	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	1.444	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	3.751	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?	BUY	99.7¢	1.725	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	56.7¢	2.998	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?	BUY	51.9¢	18.285	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 5?	BUY	99.3¢	1.641	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 4?	BUY	99.3¢	2.739	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	99.7¢	3.45	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	97.3¢	4.995	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.6%

Win Consistency70.9%

Profit Factor0.93

Drawdown Resilience0.75

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75

Weekly Sharpe est.0.57

Trading Activity633 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,2140d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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