0x38ed684eb1F5a4018854f680b45Fe9Ba0060AF11-1768750292637

0x38ed68...60af11
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
50.7%
Total P&L
+$86
Trade Count
485
Sharpe Ratio
0.84
Sortino Ratio
11.70
Max Drawdown
438.8%
ROI
2.8%
Profit Factor
1.13
Kelly Fraction
0.060
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?BUY86.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.4¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?BUY91.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY58.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY79.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY95.8¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 5?BUY80.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?SELL99.5¢3.99Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?SELL99.5¢1.005Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?SELL95.0¢11Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?SELL99.8¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY70.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?SELL99.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 5?BUY73.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?BUY92.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?SELL41.5¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?SELL99.9¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?BUY99.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?SELL99.9¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on March 4?SELL99.9¢10Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%11%10–20%8%20–30%19%30–50%18%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%15%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.6%
Win Consistency50.7%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity485 trades · 33 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1,3525d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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