0x3a1B95Ba199D8c9601181Ba90B7bD7F5F9361759-1771734773280

0x3a1b95...361759
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
57.1%
Total P&L
-$12
Trade Count
61
Sharpe Ratio
2.04
Sortino Ratio
11.23
Max Drawdown
3276.6%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
1.77
Kelly Fraction
0.248
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
032.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.7¢10.56Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL82.0¢10.97Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢10.976Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢8.14Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL96.6¢9.32Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.5¢9.326Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢10.77Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢10.776Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢7.15Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢8.33Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢8.333Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.6¢5.45Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.7¢5.453Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢5.1Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?SELL93.0¢1.23Mar 3
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL97.0¢2.98Mar 3
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY86.0¢8.14Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢9.28Mar 2
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢9.288Mar 2
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%13%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%13%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.78
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.5%
Win Consistency41.4%
Profit Factor0.84
Drawdown Resilience0.68
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.68
Weekly Sharpe est.0.52
Trading Activity61 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3431d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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