0x3A1d116cD1DB7dF9cEf40e1D8C13632E757d4059-1734130691573

0x3a1d11...7d4059

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.2%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.18

Max Drawdown

2710.0%

ROI

5.5%

Profit Factor

2.44

Kelly Fraction

0.131

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	2.65	Mar 5
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.305	Mar 5
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	1.345	Mar 5
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	1.28	Mar 5
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.8¢	1.232	Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.5¢	1.11	Mar 5
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	1.285	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?	SELL	99.5¢	1.33	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	1.334	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?	SELL	99.5¢	1.14	Mar 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.6¢	1.116	Mar 5
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	98.0¢	1.32	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $600 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	1.145	Mar 5
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.1¢	1.325	Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	95.1¢	1.4	Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	BUY	95.2¢	1.397	Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.0¢	1.21	Mar 4
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.1¢	1.213	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.1¢	1.22	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.2¢	1.23	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.5%

Win Consistency22.2%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.15

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.15

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue