0x3aCbeC1A0346f34Ea2BE91a3C7f2d36F03d50F77-1768907280604

0x3acbec...d50f77
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
36.4%
Total P&L
-$1
Trade Count
47
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
0.82
Max Drawdown
1245.6%
ROI
-1.6%
Profit Factor
0.95
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
08.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.9¢34.483Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?BUY15.2¢6.579Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSELL99.9¢1.21Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY82.0¢1.22Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY58.0¢1.724Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETBUY58.0¢1.724Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?SELL99.9¢3.64Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 4?SELL0.1¢112.51Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 4?BUY0.9¢112.514Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 4?BUY27.4¢3.65Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 4?BUY47.0¢2.128Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 4?BUY3.7¢27.027Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?SELL99.9¢6.25Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 3?BUY16.0¢6.25Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 3?BUY19.1¢10.471Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ETBUY94.0¢3.021Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY40.0¢7.5Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY97.0¢5.155Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY42.0¢4.762Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETBUY64.0¢2.531Feb 5
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%36%< 10%14%10–20%20–30%19%30–50%14%50–70%6%70–80%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.1%
Win Consistency33.3%
Profit Factor0.23
Drawdown Resilience0.19
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19
Weekly Sharpe est.0.14
Trading Activity47 trades · 10 active days
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P&L Calendar
$193d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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