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0x3B610f57EA19ADB9f537c266C65D8709a1488eE9-1761146919626

0x3b610f...488ee9
Smart Score
6
Win Rate
61.1%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
46
Sharpe Ratio
-0.54
Sortino Ratio
-0.45
Max Drawdown
31208.8%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
1.08
Kelly Fraction
0.045
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
05.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 4.5BUY28.0¢15.61Mar 5
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5BUY41.0¢13.58Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?SELL95.0¢121.76Feb 19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY95.0¢121.768Feb 14
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL98.3¢117.68Jan 22
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY98.1¢117.686Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL98.2¢87.1Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY89.0¢87.101Jan 3
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL99.8¢82.88Jan 1
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?BUY99.9¢82.883Dec 31
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?SELL99.4¢66.35Dec 30
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?BUY98.0¢66.357Dec 23
Spurs vs. KnicksBUY45.0¢2.689Dec 16
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?SELL99.7¢58.75Dec 2
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY99.7¢58.756Nov 29
Cavaliers vs. HawksBUY39.0¢3Nov 27
Spurs vs. SunsBUY44.0¢3.386Nov 23
Hawks vs. SpursBUY52.0¢3.192Nov 20
Hornets vs. PacersBUY54.0¢3.296Nov 19
Clippers vs. 76ersBUY36.0¢3.083Nov 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%28%30–50%31%50–70%70–80%80–90%33%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing5.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.32
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.4%
Win Consistency45.7%
Profit Factor0.15
Drawdown Resilience0.12
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12
Weekly Sharpe est.0.09
Trading Activity46 trades · 36 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2258d profit28d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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