0x3B80C66A6EF3Ea1ac20814d9E5Aa940E5337047B-1772029283814

0x3b80c6...37047b

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.8%

Total P&L

+$112

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-4.09

Sortino Ratio

-3.48

Max Drawdown

10675.3%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

8.27

Kelly Fraction

0.843

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

031.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	89.0¢	18.182	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	89.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	89.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	88.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	90.5¢	8.4	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	90.5¢	41.6	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	17.83	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	32.165	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 6, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	94.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	95.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	97.2¢	64	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	5	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	30	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	97.1¢	1	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	150	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	200	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	94.7¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing31.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.4%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.81

Drawdown Resilience0.66

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66

Weekly Sharpe est.0.50

Trading Activity90 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,9571d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue