0x3Cd05bf427EC0267b157079C2083A24572db9570-1764802960343

0x3cd05b...db9570

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.02

Sortino Ratio

-1.67

Max Drawdown

82.4%

ROI

2.6%

Profit Factor

8.11

Kelly Fraction

0.657

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bank of England increases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Mar 5
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	76.0¢	0.5	Mar 5
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Mar 5
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	23.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	91.0¢	2.2	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	91.0¢	1.09	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	91.0¢	0.27	Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	91.0¢	0.64	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	10	Mar 5
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	58.0¢	10	Mar 5
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	BUY	65.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	8	Mar 4
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	6	Mar 4
OpenAI IPO before 2027?	BUY	35.0¢	6	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	58.8¢	25	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	10	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	38.0¢	25	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	56.0¢	10	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	58.0¢	50	Mar 4
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	BUY	36.0¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.5%

Win Consistency52.4%

Profit Factor0.79

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity56 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$4070d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue