0x3ce60cF316236CDC476A105e19DD13b22F13Db77-1729588291111

0x3ce60c...13db77@cardenas_rub

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

+$146

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.16

Sortino Ratio

-0.12

Max Drawdown

154.6%

ROI

10.6%

Profit Factor

6.38

Kelly Fraction

0.703

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.2¢	1.88	Mar 5
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.7¢	1.88	Mar 5
Nets vs. Magic	BUY	20.0¢	102	Feb 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	105.63	Nov 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 9AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	239.69	Nov 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23?	BUY	99.8¢	1.293	May 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16?	BUY	99.6¢	1.446	May 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9?	BUY	99.8¢	1.152	May 8
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?	BUY	99.7¢	1.344	Apr 29
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?	BUY	99.9¢	1.371	Apr 29
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1400 and $1500 on Apr 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.441	Apr 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25?	BUY	99.9¢	1.201	Apr 25
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18?	BUY	99.7¢	1.394	Apr 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18?	BUY	99.9¢	1.301	Apr 18
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4?	BUY	99.8¢	1.022	Apr 4
Will Solana hit $190 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	1.013	Mar 28
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.461	Mar 28
Will Ethereum hit $3,500.00 again by March 31?	BUY	99.9¢	1.231	Mar 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28?	BUY	99.8¢	1.092	Mar 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21?	BUY	99.8¢	1.253	Mar 21

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.77

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.2%

Win Consistency48.0%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity15 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$2041d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue