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0x3e03d5...956f79

0x3e03d5...956f79
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
69.6%
Total P&L
+$489
Trade Count
3,629
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
1.49
Max Drawdown
1534.4%
ROI
9.1%
Profit Factor
2.65
Kelly Fraction
0.433
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?BUY87.0¢5.747Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on March 6?BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?BUY85.0¢5.882Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on March 5?BUY56.4¢8.865Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY92.9¢5.381Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY91.0¢5.495Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY89.0¢5.618Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY89.0¢5.618Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY92.0¢5.435Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?BUY86.0¢5.814Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY86.0¢5.814Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY91.0¢5.495Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY83.0¢6.024Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?BUY85.0¢5.882Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY85.0¢5.882Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY91.0¢5.495Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY25.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY89.0¢5.618Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 4?BUY20.4¢13.79Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢5.263Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%4%< 10%3%10–20%8%20–30%14%30–50%18%50–70%15%70–80%22%80–90%17%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.59
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.3%
Win Consistency43.3%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity3,629 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,2620d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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