0x3FCbD0a9ACf6Ad66C6fB44CE0050A0fC1Ed3F5EB-1772534172460

0x3fcbd0...d3f5eb

Smart Score

Win Rate

15.4%

Total P&L

+$129

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-4.17

Sortino Ratio

-9.21

Max Drawdown

249.6%

ROI

4.3%

Profit Factor

1.61

Kelly Fraction

0.058

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	24.3¢	205.978	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	36.0¢	278.086	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	63.7¢	163.01	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	58.5¢	163.01	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	43.8¢	25.134	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	4.6¢	239.66	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	63.0¢	32.429	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	81.2¢	25.17	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	44.4¢	45.747	Mar 5
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	202.97	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	BUY	84.0¢	25.179	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	62.5¢	159.895	Mar 4
Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?	BUY	12.3¢	202.972	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	9.2¢	326.262	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	57.2¢	307.97	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	59.1¢	166.133	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	27.0¢	111.111	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	8.3¢	239.665	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	55.2¢	307.97	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	98.0¢	324.68	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.0%

Win Consistency33.3%

Profit Factor0.17

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue