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0x40a003dBFBF243797d7CAe04a5d1918d1c3ECB70-1768436434072

0x40a003...3ecb70
Smart Score
41
Win Rate
49.4%
Total P&L
+$224
Trade Count
378
Sharpe Ratio
1.52
Sortino Ratio
14.42
Max Drawdown
3247.3%
ROI
12.9%
Profit Factor
2.69
Kelly Fraction
0.310
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
041/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?SELL28.0¢20Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY21.0¢10Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY20.0¢6Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY14.0¢10Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?BUY69.0¢20.29Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?SELL97.1¢22Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?SELL42.0¢5Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY84.0¢22Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?SELL71.0¢22Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY27.0¢5Mar 4
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?BUY24.0¢5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL73.0¢7Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY60.0¢7Mar 2
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL44.0¢9.46Mar 2
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY72.0¢22Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL41.0¢32.27Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY33.0¢5Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL38.0¢5.05Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY28.7¢7.32Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY28.2¢5Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%16%< 10%13%10–20%22%20–30%17%30–50%18%50–70%4%70–80%8%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.25
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.3%
Win Consistency48.3%
Profit Factor1.07
Drawdown Resilience0.86
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.86
Weekly Sharpe est.0.66
Trading Activity378 trades · 31 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4715d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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