0x40d663be9C050CdE15edbAF748506aBdF802d9d2-1765918293937

0x40d663...02d9d2

Smart Score

Win Rate

4.0%

Total P&L

-$1.6K

Trade Count

1,607

Sharpe Ratio

0.02

Sortino Ratio

1.75

Max Drawdown

6590.0%

ROI

-17.8%

Profit Factor

0.58

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	4.2¢	250	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	6.3¢	150.125	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	150	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	17.0¢	100.224	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	12.0¢	25	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?	BUY	7.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 11?	BUY	10.6¢	25	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?	BUY	19.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 9?	BUY	16.0¢	25	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 8?	BUY	12.0¢	25	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	BUY	9.0¢	25	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	BUY	8.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	BUY	9.0¢	25.111	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	450.044	Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY	2.3¢	165.057	Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.0¢	375.364	Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.5¢	250	Mar 3
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.4¢	275	Mar 3
Will BNB dip to $200 in March?	BUY	1.9¢	200	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	150.004	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%

Win Consistency10.7%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity1,607 trades · 50 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,5596d profit44d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue