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0x40d7371eAe6EE5159caC090a8a43E21669641218-1763141594988

0x40d737...641218
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
12.7%
Total P&L
+$144
Trade Count
2,378
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
11.60
Max Drawdown
17543.0%
ROI
4.6%
Profit Factor
1.15
Kelly Fraction
0.017
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL6.9¢10Mar 5
Pacers vs. ClippersBUY1.2¢84Mar 4
Hawks vs. BucksBUY21.0¢5Mar 4
Hawks vs. BucksBUY22.0¢5Mar 4
Hawks vs. BucksBUY29.0¢3.57Mar 4
Hawks vs. BucksBUY29.0¢1.423Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be less than 2,000,000?BUY1.5¢8Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be less than 2,000,000?BUY1.5¢30Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be less than 2,000,000?BUY1.5¢22Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?BUY2.1¢40Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?BUY5.0¢17Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY4.0¢23.95Mar 3
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY4.0¢1.042Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY4.0¢20Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY7.7¢13Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY8.8¢0.28Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY8.8¢11.72Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY9.0¢10Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY9.0¢1.099Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY7.8¢13Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%62%< 10%23%10–20%9%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.8%
Win Consistency46.0%
Profit Factor0.56
Drawdown Resilience0.46
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46
Weekly Sharpe est.0.35
Trading Activity2,378 trades · 91 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,2119d profit82d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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