0x40fd87...57eff0

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.7%

Total P&L

-$66.6K

Trade Count

106

Sharpe Ratio

-0.01

Sortino Ratio

-0.01

Max Drawdown

300.0%

ROI

-6.4%

Profit Factor

-0.00

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

07.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	99.6¢	4.92	Dec 21
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.7¢	8.02	Dec 21
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	98.4¢	97.561	Nov 25
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	BUY	86.8¢	5.76	Nov 25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?	BUY	99.7¢	4.614	Oct 24
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.7¢	8.024	Oct 24
Will Solana dip to $100 in September?	BUY	99.5¢	6	Sep 5
Will the price of Solana be between $160 and $170 on September 5?	BUY	99.9¢	6.73	Sep 5
Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?	BUY	98.9¢	3.033	Aug 20
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in August?	BUY	99.6¢	6.024	Aug 20
Will Jazz Hampton win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	BUY	99.9¢	2.702	Aug 20
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?	BUY	99.9¢	14.17	Aug 20
Will Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	9.548	Jul 26
Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?	BUY	99.9¢	7.407	Jul 26
Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	8.708	Jul 26
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.1¢	3.068	Jul 5
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $46m?	BUY	99.9¢	3.203	Jun 21
Will Solana reach $220 in June?	BUY	99.6¢	2.209	Jun 21
Will the Miami Marlins win the NL East Division?	BUY	99.8¢	2.004	Jun 4
Will Logan Gilbert win the 2025 AL Cy Young?	BUY	98.7¢	3.039	Jun 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing7.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.8%

Win Consistency79.0%

Profit Factor0.20

Drawdown Resilience0.16

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.16

Weekly Sharpe est.0.12

Trading Activity44 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$5221d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue