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0x41251b...6323a9

0x41251b...6323a9
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
45.7%
Total P&L
+$378
Trade Count
997
Sharpe Ratio
1.64
Sortino Ratio
23.47
Max Drawdown
147.5%
ROI
48.2%
Profit Factor
11.92
Kelly Fraction
0.418
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢15.306Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢7.939Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢1.02Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢1.99Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢4.27Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢5.102Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢7.939Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢1.184Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢1.184Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on March 6?BUY2.0¢5.102Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL3.8¢22.3Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?BUY3.0¢34.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 5?SELL5.0¢1.58Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL3.7¢20.06Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?BUY3.0¢1.031Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?BUY3.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL7.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL7.0¢25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL7.0¢5.9Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 6?BUY4.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%100%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.70
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.7%
Win Consistency40.0%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity997 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
+$167d profit1d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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