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0x413416ccCb88BEe2e9e74A108aC605919fFF8938-1765548188577

0x413416...ff8938
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
66
Sharpe Ratio
-1.82
Sortino Ratio
-1.67
Max Drawdown
77920.0%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢20.96Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.43Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.42Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.41Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.4Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.39Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.38Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.37Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.36Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 21?BUY99.0¢10.354Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.25Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?BUY99.5¢10.241Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.19Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.18Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.17Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.16Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on February 16?BUY99.9¢10.15Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.14Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 16?BUY99.9¢10.13Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.12Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.6%
Win Consistency21.2%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity66 trades · 45 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6830d profit45d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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