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0x4187828301b19152ADbd353705fcc5e4D5423D5c-1765547240017

0x418782...423d5c
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
98.4%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
65
Sharpe Ratio
-1.28
Sortino Ratio
-1.16
Max Drawdown
66141.1%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
55.42
Kelly Fraction
0.967
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY99.7¢21.163Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.561Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.55Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.54Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.53Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.52Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.51Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY99.9¢10.5Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.49Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.48Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.47Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.46Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.45Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on February 20?BUY99.8¢10.441Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on February 18?BUY99.0¢10.414Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 4°C on February 19?BUY99.7¢10.311Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.28Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.27Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.26Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on February 16?BUY99.9¢10.25Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.2%
Win Consistency18.8%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity65 trades · 44 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6550d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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