0x418f891Dc046E96dA8Df95749eD8F071EfEEa8F1-1769733659145

0x418f89...eea8f1
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
72.2%
Total P&L
+$549
Trade Count
3,318
Sharpe Ratio
0.39
Sortino Ratio
9.48
Max Drawdown
52.1%
ROI
3.7%
Profit Factor
1.18
Kelly Fraction
0.109
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
049.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?SELL86.3¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?BUY88.2¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?SELL91.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?SELL84.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY92.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?SELL92.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY85.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?SELL89.0¢0.77Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 5?BUY93.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?SELL88.8¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 5?BUY89.0¢0.77Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY90.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?SELL93.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL79.6¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY81.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?SELL86.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 5?SELL94.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?BUY87.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 5
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%18%30–50%14%50–70%20%70–80%27%80–90%13%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.73
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.1%
Win Consistency54.1%
Profit Factor1.29
Drawdown Resilience1.04
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.04
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity3,318 trades · 31 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,2382d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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