0x4381CBBCc67F646DAC7182150033BaC2A7b78385-1771499344548

0x4381cb...b78385

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.7%

Total P&L

+$214

Trade Count

101

Sharpe Ratio

0.97

Sortino Ratio

30.98

Max Drawdown

284.9%

ROI

43.6%

Profit Factor

3.76

Kelly Fraction

0.431

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	39.0¢	7.97	Mar 5
Iran Nuke before 2027?	BUY	90.0¢	5.989	Mar 3
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 3
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	10.1	Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	BUY	79.0¢	5.354	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	BUY	63.0¢	1.587	Feb 21
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	BUY	57.0¢	17.544	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	71.0¢	7.042	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	20.0¢	4.74	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	BUY	62.0¢	8.065	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	BUY	39.0¢	7.692	Feb 21
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	90.0¢	33.333	Feb 21
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	62.7¢	31.892	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BUY	82.0¢	3.659	Feb 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?	SELL	25.3¢	21.33	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	BUY	64.0¢	3.125	Feb 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	BUY	4.6¢	43.61	Feb 21
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?	BUY	23.4¢	21.333	Feb 21

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.51

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.6%

Win Consistency46.3%

Profit Factor1.19

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity101 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$3001d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue