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0x44bc29...d8c1bd

0x44bc29...d8c1bd
Smart Score
8
Win Rate
23.1%
Total P&L
-$3
Trade Count
56
Sharpe Ratio
3.42
Sortino Ratio
110.17
Max Drawdown
175.2%
ROI
-1.4%
Profit Factor
0.05
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
08.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL10.6¢14.27Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL71.0¢2.75Mar 5
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?SELL10.6¢14.26Mar 5
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY72.0¢2.75Mar 5
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY10.4¢28.534Mar 4
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?SELL8.0¢21.8Mar 4
Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026?BUY9.1¢21.8Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.2¢82.5Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.4¢82.5Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.3¢82.5Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.4¢82.5Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL2.3¢82.5Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY2.4¢82.5Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?SELL78.7¢5.14Mar 4
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?SELL30.0¢6Mar 4
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY33.0¢6Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY77.1¢2.568Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?SELL31.0¢6.18Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY32.0¢6.188Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY77.0¢2.571Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%25%< 10%14%10–20%20–30%29%30–50%50–70%11%70–80%18%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.6%
Win Consistency46.7%
Profit Factor0.22
Drawdown Resilience0.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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