0x44D366f47B5e383d4786a82BADEe3Ce5078694E3-1772528779919

0x44d366...8694e3
Smart Score
23
Win Rate
52.6%
Total P&L
+$6
Trade Count
79
Sharpe Ratio
1.35
Sortino Ratio
2.38
Max Drawdown
3847.2%
ROI
6.3%
Profit Factor
1.46
Kelly Fraction
0.167
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
023.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY39.6¢2.52Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.9¢1.55Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL66.3¢0.38Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY62.4¢4.808Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL61.3¢4.82Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY62.3¢4.815Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL61.3¢5.38Mar 5
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY41.0¢2.439Mar 4
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?BUY72.0¢1.389Mar 4
Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY12.0¢8.333Mar 4
Will MrBeast hit 475 Million subscribers by March 31?BUY30.0¢3.333Mar 4
Will MrBeast hit 474 Million subscribers by March 31?BUY54.0¢1.852Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL90.0¢2.22Mar 4
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL89.0¢2.17Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?SELL99.0¢1.2Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY76.4¢1.309Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?SELL99.9¢1.28Mar 4
Will Leavitt say "Historic" during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY83.0¢1.205Mar 4
Will Trump say "Job" 5+ times during Medal of Honor ceremony on March 2?BUY87.9¢1.138Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETBUY36.9¢2.71Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%6%10–20%10%20–30%29%30–50%31%50–70%12%70–80%8%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing23.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.2%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor0.61
Drawdown Resilience0.49
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49
Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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