0x44ef50...32ff3d

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.5%

Total P&L

-$45.4K

Trade Count

996

Sharpe Ratio

0.06

Sortino Ratio

0.09

Max Drawdown

3756.7%

ROI

-4.2%

Profit Factor

0.39

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	96.3¢	124	Mar 4
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	BUY	80.0¢	200	Mar 4
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	BUY	99.0¢	5,015.39	Mar 4
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	BUY	99.5¢	5,501.53	Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	96.3¢	72	Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	96.3¢	52	Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	96.3¢	52	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	97.4¢	20,931.89	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	92.0¢	2,941.51	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	31.0¢	233	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	49.5¢	145	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	49.0¢	300	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	81.0¢	501.61	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	94.0¢	4,000	Mar 2
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	45,000	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	9,884.92	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	8,926.47	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	4,000	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	300	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	5,000	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency57.2%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity996 trades · 64 active days

P&L Calendar

$753,9438d profit56d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue