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0x451fbCd7434b23F56125578851958A4c11c8A5CA-1765547927763

0x451fbc...c8a5ca
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
98.4%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
62
Sharpe Ratio
-1.72
Sortino Ratio
-1.56
Max Drawdown
68589.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
34.81
Kelly Fraction
0.955
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 5?BUY99.8¢21.082Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.61Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.6Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.59Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.58Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.57Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.56Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 32-33°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.55Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?BUY98.0¢10.541Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.33Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.32Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.31Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.3Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.29Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 4°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.28Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.27Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.26Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.25Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.24Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?BUY99.9¢10.23Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.48
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.5%
Win Consistency21.3%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity62 trades · 43 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6240d profit42d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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