0x4549f2B1ddc416DA61d33447e0272bA95A810450-1769199468107

0x4549f2...810450

Smart Score

Win Rate

17.5%

Total P&L

-$840

Trade Count

1,406

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

9.73

Max Drawdown

2991.2%

ROI

-10.3%

Profit Factor

0.68

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	5.2¢	38.218	Mar 5
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Mar 5
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.4¢	1,067.14	Mar 5
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	4.2¢	48.003	Mar 5
Will Panama win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	3.4¢	29.007	Mar 5
Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	8.6¢	23.256	Mar 5
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.9¢	233.749	Mar 5
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	3.1¢	64.434	Mar 5
Will the winner of the Democratic Republic of Congo/Jamaica/New Caledonia playoff win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	3.0¢	98.908	Mar 5
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?	BUY	9.1¢	10.989	Mar 4
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?	BUY	9.1¢	10.989	Mar 4
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	5.5¢	36.364	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	21.1¢	41.44	Mar 4
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 4
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?	BUY	48.9¢	4.09	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Mar 4
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%

Win Consistency39.3%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity1,406 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,6666d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue