0x45a22737a76fAFD5Dd101EB0dC6030986eb13C01-1750068339195

0x45a227...b13c01

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.1%

Total P&L

+$25.0K

Trade Count

999

Sharpe Ratio

-4.75

Sortino Ratio

-5.13

Max Drawdown

59.7%

ROI

44.3%

Profit Factor

9.72

Kelly Fraction

0.710

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

047.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.5¢	21.45	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	BUY	98.1¢	21.45	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	1.4¢	25.26	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.6¢	25.254	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	1.4¢	1.55	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.6¢	1.542	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	1.4¢	102.22	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.6¢	102.22	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	1.7¢	17.82	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	17.82	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	1.6¢	42.17	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.4¢	42.17	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.4¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	SELL	1.6¢	5	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	BUY	60.0¢	250	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	39.0¢	1,480	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	BUY	60.0¢	1,480	Mar 4
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.4¢	288.24	Mar 4
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	BUY	98.1¢	62.09	Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing47.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)43.6%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor1.25

Drawdown Resilience1.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.77

Trading Activity999 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,4972d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics