0x45BCE3f692E733968Ed1924cE1176Db697155BD0-1742919757239

0x45bce3...155bd0

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.2%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

116

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

0.15

Max Drawdown

70.1%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

13.22

Kelly Fraction

0.834

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

057.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.5¢	5.27	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.9¢	3.59	Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	44.5¢	3.596	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	71.7¢	12.53	Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	12.539	Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	6.55	Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	6.558	Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	1.53	Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.5¢	1.539	Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	94.8¢	3.11	Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.9¢	3.117	Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	98.3¢	2.51	Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	96.7¢	2.513	Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	98.4¢	9.217	Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	95.2¢	6.78	Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	89.9¢	6.785	Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	4.47	Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.5¢	4.477	Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.4¢	1.75	Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	97.1¢	1.751	Nov 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active57.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.2%

Win Consistency72.7%

Profit Factor1.49

Drawdown Resilience1.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.92

Trading Activity56 trades · 56 active days

P&L Calendar

$3625d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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