0x45Cf46DC376eF7a8fdC5c9643156Fd349602FaAf-1772352497971

0x45cf46...02faaf

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.1%

Total P&L

+$7

Trade Count

105

Sharpe Ratio

-1.83

Sortino Ratio

-1.67

Max Drawdown

33561.5%

ROI

1.0%

Profit Factor

1.17

Kelly Fraction

0.057

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	BUY	88.9¢	8.5	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.1¢	8.5	Mar 5
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?	BUY	96.1¢	8.5	Mar 5
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	8.5	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.2¢	8.5	Mar 5
Probable FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	5.0¢	12	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	99.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	95.8¢	12	Mar 4
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	98.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.2¢	8.5	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?	SELL	3.5¢	12	Mar 4
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	SELL	2.4¢	11.7	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	5.7¢	12	Mar 4
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?	SELL	2.4¢	0.293	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	97.5¢	0.58	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?	SELL	98.4¢	20.5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	97.5¢	11.415	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	4.5¢	12	Mar 4
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?	BUY	96.2¢	9	Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	87.0¢	0.5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency30.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity105 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$5620d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue