Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x46224ac63d03bD8d3db3301f26B38FC2E6869210-1769977799095

0x46224a...869210
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
20.8%
Total P&L
-$11
Trade Count
52
Sharpe Ratio
1.53
Sortino Ratio
54.39
Max Drawdown
71.4%
ROI
-15.7%
Profit Factor
0.57
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
043.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.9¢111.111Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY32.0¢9.375Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY12.0¢41.667Mar 5
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?SELL11.0¢10.36Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?SELL0.4¢52.63Mar 2
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY19.3¢10.363Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?BUY5.7¢52.632Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY38.0¢7.895Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY7.7¢12.985Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY79.0¢1.266Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY55.0¢9.091Feb 28
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?BUY16.0¢6.25Feb 25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?SELL12.0¢7.77Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY18.0¢5.556Feb 21
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.1¢250Feb 20
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL47.0¢1.81Feb 20
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.4¢250Feb 17
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY55.0¢1.818Feb 17
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?BUY66.0¢3.03Feb 17
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?SELL0.2¢239.99Feb 17

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%10%10–20%7%20–30%10%30–50%10%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing43.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.9%
Win Consistency52.0%
Profit Factor1.14
Drawdown Resilience0.92
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92
Weekly Sharpe est.0.70
Trading Activity52 trades · 17 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$485d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics