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0x462A048Cbb249fF0B9102576BAcB9355490fd31d-1765548252048

0x462a04...0fd31d
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
67
Sharpe Ratio
-1.42
Sortino Ratio
-1.28
Max Drawdown
97582.9%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢21.131Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.591Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.58Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.57Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.56Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.55Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.54Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.52Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.51Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on February 21?BUY99.0¢10.505Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 20?BUY99.8¢10.401Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?BUY99.5¢10.352Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.33Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.32Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.31Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.3Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 17?BUY99.5¢10.281Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.23Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?BUY99.8¢10.22Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 60-61°F on February 15?BUY99.8¢10.2Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.6%
Win Consistency20.9%
Profit Factor0.44
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity67 trades · 45 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6960d profit45d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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