0x462E9C258e2CdC1c7d6ECE5c20CD603477edD9a0-1768154346346

0x462e9c...edd9a0

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.0%

Total P&L

-$44

Trade Count

118

Sharpe Ratio

-0.58

Sortino Ratio

-1.66

Max Drawdown

411.4%

ROI

-8.6%

Profit Factor

0.59

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	BUY	11.0¢	9.091	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	BUY	15.0¢	6.667	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	BUY	27.9¢	3.584	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	BUY	23.9¢	4.184	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	BUY	27.0¢	5.556	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	BUY	41.9¢	3.58	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	BUY	23.0¢	6.565	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	99.0¢	21.73	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	BUY	19.0¢	21.737	Mar 3
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	2.7¢	59.28	Mar 3
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?	SELL	1.0¢	102.91	Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	23.81	Feb 28
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	8.4¢	59.283	Feb 28
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?	BUY	4.9¢	102.915	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	97.5¢	16.92	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	16.923	Feb 19
Will Italy join the Board of Peace?	SELL	3.5¢	25	Feb 19
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	SELL	13.4¢	26.31	Feb 19
US government shutdown Saturday?	BUY	26.0¢	7.423	Jan 25
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?	SELL	9.0¢	21.5	Jan 25

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.03

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.5%

Win Consistency29.2%

Profit Factor0.02

Drawdown Resilience0.01

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.01

Weekly Sharpe est.0.01

Trading Activity118 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$674d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue