0x468fda...6fb94c

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.0%

Total P&L

+$26

Trade Count

953

Sharpe Ratio

0.29

Sortino Ratio

1.67

Max Drawdown

207.3%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

5.29

Kelly Fraction

0.689

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

041.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.3¢	0.21	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	1.006	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	2.565	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?	BUY	98.6¢	1.014	Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	5.03	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?	BUY	98.4¢	1.016	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	1.034	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	1.034	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	99.3¢	1.007	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	1.034	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	96.7¢	1.034	Mar 4
Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March?	BUY	98.4¢	1.016	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	0.01	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	1.01	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	78.0¢	1.282	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	77.0¢	1.299	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing41.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.5%

Win Consistency64.1%

Profit Factor1.07

Drawdown Resilience0.87

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87

Weekly Sharpe est.0.66

Trading Activity953 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$3058d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue