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0x470B148693Bf63422DC06380CA91334B3fc0CF44-1765548932966

0x470b14...c0cf44
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
98.4%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
62
Sharpe Ratio
-1.28
Sortino Ratio
-1.11
Max Drawdown
141775.9%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
8.63
Kelly Fraction
0.870
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on March 5?BUY99.9¢21.331Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.37Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢10.361Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.34Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.33Feb 27
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?BUY99.9¢10.32Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.31Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.3Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.29Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?BUY99.5¢10.281Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.23Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.22Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.21Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on February 18?BUY99.8¢10.2Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.18Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.17Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on February 16?BUY99.9¢10.16Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.15Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.14Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.13Feb 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%
Win Consistency24.2%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity62 trades · 44 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6450d profit44d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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