0x473eFdc477aE23BB7eAA1505a237c17D3d59CAe5-1771052124630

0x473efd...59cae5

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.3%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

110

Sharpe Ratio

1.18

Sortino Ratio

20.73

Max Drawdown

1621.5%

ROI

7.1%

Profit Factor

4.96

Kelly Fraction

0.426

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

048.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	SELL	91.9¢	2.02	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	2.08	Mar 4
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	BUY	99.0¢	2.02	Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	2.11	Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	94.2¢	2.123	Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	1.74	Mar 2
GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	94.3¢	2.121	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	BUY	2.7¢	75	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	BUY	8.0¢	25	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	BUY	96.0¢	2.083	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	92.2¢	4.3	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	SELL	97.3¢	3.28	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	2.045	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	97.8¢	2.045	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	2.151	Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	2.151	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	SELL	89.0¢	4.39	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	2.198	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	2.198	Mar 1
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?	SELL	95.9¢	4.17	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing48.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.0%

Win Consistency61.3%

Profit Factor1.26

Drawdown Resilience1.02

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.02

Weekly Sharpe est.0.77

Trading Activity110 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$133d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue