0x47f941...f3fd51

0x47f941...f3fd51
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
17.6%
Total P&L
-$37
Trade Count
30
Sharpe Ratio
7.11
Sortino Ratio
560.73
Max Drawdown
5801.0%
ROI
-11.0%
Profit Factor
0.05
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
013.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?BUY95.9¢26.069Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?BUY95.9¢26.069Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?SELL4.1¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?BUY12.0¢208.181Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢11.628Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢11.628Mar 4
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY94.2¢27.601Mar 4
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?SELL5.3¢383Mar 4
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY6.8¢383.078Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY87.0¢29.885Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY87.0¢29.885Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY86.0¢30.233Mar 4
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY95.3¢27.282Mar 4
Will LIGA win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?BUY0.3¢8,376.56Mar 4
BitBoy convicted?BUY87.8¢2.278Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY98.0¢2.041Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL1.9¢250Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSELL42.0¢1Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETBUY38.0¢2.632Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.0¢250Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%36%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%8%30–50%8%50–70%70–80%24%80–90%20%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%
Win Consistency57.9%
Profit Factor0.35
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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