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0x488e56...5d0714

0x488e56...5d0714
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
65.1%
Total P&L
+$178
Trade Count
245
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Sortino Ratio
-0.10
Max Drawdown
484.1%
ROI
17.6%
Profit Factor
10.11
Kelly Fraction
0.586
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?SELL85.3¢1.5Mar 5
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?BUY87.0¢3.069Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY27.0¢9.481Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY30.0¢15.267Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY31.0¢14.774Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY32.0¢14.344Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY72.0¢6.556Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY82.0¢5.793Mar 4
Will Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?BUY18.0¢7.667Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?BUY86.6¢1.501Mar 4
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?BUY77.0¢1.753Mar 3
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?SELL91.1¢11.77Mar 3
Will Oman strike Iran by March 31?BUY91.1¢11.784Mar 2
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY91.1¢11.778Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY93.4¢4.261Feb 28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?SELL99.9¢4.03Feb 28
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?BUY99.0¢4.03Feb 28
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?SELL2.0¢5.52Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?SELL91.9¢8.34Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?BUY94.2¢8.344Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10%10–20%12%20–30%21%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%6%80–90%32%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.88
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.0%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.89
Drawdown Resilience0.72
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72
Weekly Sharpe est.0.55
Trading Activity245 trades · 53 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$18419d profit33d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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