0x48cdB920703404dAc087Fb9aac84d81c5C1C959f-1771890546793

0x48cdb9...1c959f

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.44

Sortino Ratio

-1.00

Max Drawdown

387.1%

ROI

16.0%

Profit Factor

3.63

Kelly Fraction

0.362

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	8.9¢	20	Mar 5
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	344.13	Mar 5
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	101	Mar 5
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?	BUY	72.0¢	4.167	Mar 5
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	BUY	17.0¢	11.765	Mar 4
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	BUY	13.3¢	7.5	Mar 4
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	8.9¢	11.236	Mar 3
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	242.08	Mar 3
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?	SELL	4.1¢	69.56	Mar 3
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	5.6¢	4.65	Mar 3
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	72.085	Mar 3
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	130.883	Mar 3
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	6.8¢	31	Mar 3
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	7.5¢	60	Mar 3
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	9.4¢	30	Mar 3
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	9.3¢	10	Mar 3
Will Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	SELL	2.0¢	400.53	Mar 3
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	BUY	20.0¢	10	Mar 3
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	BUY	1.6¢	170	Mar 3
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.4%

Win Consistency35.0%

Profit Factor0.50

Drawdown Resilience0.40

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40

Weekly Sharpe est.0.31

Trading Activity51 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$192d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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