0x495103...d8f34f

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.3%

Total P&L

+$1.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.10

Sortino Ratio

-0.16

Max Drawdown

2990.9%

ROI

31.3%

Profit Factor

2.10

Kelly Fraction

0.311

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	325	May 7
Solana Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	52.0¢	620	May 7
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?	BUY	47.0¢	1,090	May 7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-08?	BUY	49.0¢	1,200	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	63.0¢	540	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	63.0¢	320	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Inflation" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	41.0¢	995	May 7
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	48.0¢	450	May 5
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	48.0¢	25	May 5
Will Trump say "Farmer" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	48.0¢	70	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	55	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	180	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	755	May 5
Will Trump say "Deficit" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	61.0¢	1,000	May 5
Will Trump say "Roof" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	37.0¢	50	May 5
Will Bologna vs. Juventus end in a draw?	SELL	33.0¢	5	May 4
Will Bologna vs. Juventus end in a draw?	BUY	30.0¢	5	May 4
Teofimo Lopez vs. Arnold Barboza Jr	BUY	68.0¢	260	Apr 30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?	BUY	51.0¢	675	Apr 30
Will Michael Saylor say "Strategic Bitcoin Reserve" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BUY	55.0¢	380	Apr 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%

Win Consistency44.4%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity37 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,5621d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue