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0x49a48D49954cAD4C54520DA4dc7b291735BE39DE-1765548855859

0x49a48d...be39de
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
62
Sharpe Ratio
-1.38
Sortino Ratio
-1.22
Max Drawdown
152709.9%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢21.071Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.4Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢10.391Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.37Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.36Feb 27
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?BUY99.9¢10.34Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.33Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.32Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on February 20?BUY99.8¢10.311Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?BUY99.5¢10.291Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.24Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.23Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.22Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on February 18?BUY99.8¢10.21Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.19Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.18Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on February 16?BUY99.8¢10.17Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.15Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.14Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -5°C or below on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.13Feb 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.7%
Win Consistency22.6%
Profit Factor0.45
Drawdown Resilience0.36
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.36
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity62 trades · 43 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6430d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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