0x49a7A47dD73BfAD5480dacE52EE599f3046a5f17-1761001681402

0x49a7a4...6a5f17
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
31.4%
Total P&L
+$29.3K
Trade Count
655
Sharpe Ratio
0.25
Sortino Ratio
25.32
Max Drawdown
1841.0%
ROI
51.4%
Profit Factor
2.31
Kelly Fraction
0.178
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?BUY1.0¢147,052.19Dec 3
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢500Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢12.576Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢11.822Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY0.9¢7,895.02Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY0.9¢1,000Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY0.9¢1,000Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢327.12Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢368.85Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢7,789.64Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢1,000Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢298Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢227.27Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢100Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢505.051Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢505.051Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢505.051Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win The Bronx in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢2.02Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Manhattan in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢259.31Nov 4
Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?BUY1.0¢1,136.93Nov 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%66%< 10%17%10–20%20–30%10%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.60
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.5%
Win Consistency42.6%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity655 trades · 17 active days
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P&L Calendar
$38,4851d profit16d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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