0x4a5C15222D20907eA2cA5C685E1379b5E36c48b6-1769785267495

0x4a5c15...6c48b6

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.2%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.87

Sortino Ratio

-2.17

Max Drawdown

2792.5%

ROI

20.6%

Profit Factor

5.87

Kelly Fraction

0.342

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	19.0¢	100.53	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	19.0¢	99.47	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	92.0¢	150	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	67.0¢	60.26	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	67.0¢	99.735	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	130.54	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	78.0¢	19.46	Mar 5
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	37.0¢	54.054	Mar 4
Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	60.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	51.0¢	39.216	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	65.0¢	156.42	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	65.0¢	3.58	Mar 3
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score	BUY	54.7¢	18.273	Mar 3
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?	SELL	8.0¢	327.99	Mar 3
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?	SELL	9.0¢	72	Mar 3
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	140	Mar 3
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?	BUY	14.0¢	122.67	Mar 3
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 3?	BUY	14.0¢	277.326	Mar 3
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	99.8¢	1,416.45	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	65.5¢	1,416.45	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.3%

Win Consistency35.3%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity52 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

+$9064d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue