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0x4BABdFf767e9D62D98df2A770571bBECE6A75FA0-1724210945866

0x4babdf...a75fa0
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
53.3%
Total P&L
+$4.4K
Trade Count
631
Sharpe Ratio
0.20
Sortino Ratio
2.94
Max Drawdown
195.7%
ROI
5.5%
Profit Factor
1.60
Kelly Fraction
0.200
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?BUY24.0¢193Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢100Mar 4
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?BUY67.0¢200Mar 4
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?BUY54.8¢25.21Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY49.0¢100Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY79.0¢100Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY75.0¢100Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY55.0¢100Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY47.0¢100Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY79.0¢100Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY58.0¢48.69Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY58.0¢7.143Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY58.0¢7.143Mar 3
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY58.0¢37.01Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY79.0¢100Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY48.0¢100Mar 2
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY58.0¢100Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY95.0¢100Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY79.0¢100Mar 2
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026SELL25.0¢88.33Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%5%10–20%13%20–30%17%30–50%34%50–70%11%70–80%7%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.2%
Win Consistency58.8%
Profit Factor0.75
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity576 trades · 75 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$12,50316d profit59d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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