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0x4BacC90e5008E3b28be88522B901E4AA71b45E79-1767908409746

0x4bacc9...b45e79
Smart Score
81
Win Rate
65.1%
Total P&L
+$445
Trade Count
3,684
Sharpe Ratio
4.27
Sortino Ratio
54.75
Max Drawdown
29.3%
ROI
0.7%
Profit Factor
4.84
Kelly Fraction
0.517
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
081/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL24.9¢99.99Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL3.9¢20.11Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY3.7¢59.99Mar 5
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL21.5¢30.28Mar 5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL64.0¢59.99Mar 5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY36.0¢40.01Mar 5
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL7.1¢99.92Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY24.7¢30.16Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢5.37Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢10.363Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢6.218Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢7.254Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢10.363Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢2.721Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL4.2¢20Mar 5
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL4.2¢40Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.7¢50Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL6.5¢2.83Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL3.2¢36.875Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY83.7¢61.35Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%43%< 10%4%10–20%7%20–30%30–50%50–70%7%70–80%3%80–90%32%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Pro81

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)73.7%
Win Consistency74.8%
Profit Factor2.11
Drawdown Resilience1.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.70
Weekly Sharpe est.1.30

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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