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0x4c75de...b8d40b

0x4c75de...b8d40b
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
32.9%
Total P&L
+$7.8K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
1.96
Sortino Ratio
66.95
Max Drawdown
1784.7%
ROI
53.1%
Profit Factor
2.74
Kelly Fraction
0.209
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.1% in February?SELL0.7¢30Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?SELL2.5¢22.45Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 2-8?BUY9.1¢15.934Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 5?SELL3.0¢32.28Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 86°F or higher on March 5?BUY3.9¢28.423Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 5?BUY3.3¢32.28Mar 5
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?SELL25.0¢7.58Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?SELL1.5¢57.51Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY4.9¢22.449Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY1.9¢57.517Mar 4
Will It Was Just An Accident win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL7.6¢28.28Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 5?BUY13.0¢8.462Mar 4
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?SELL20.6¢4.78Mar 4
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ex-KRÜ Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 PlayoffsBUY1.0¢110Mar 4
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week?BUY22.0¢6.31Mar 4
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL5.5¢30.55Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY4.0¢8Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 6?SELL20.2¢4.18Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.8¢140.464Mar 4
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?SELL1.1¢44.7Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%35%< 10%8%10–20%9%20–30%17%30–50%18%50–70%6%70–80%4%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.09
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.6%
Win Consistency46.1%
Profit Factor0.99
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9,4342d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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