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0x4c8eD7EAd1ac18338f816e964B1EDdE8A50eb38F-1765646249727

0x4c8ed7...0eb38f
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
43.1%
Total P&L
+$2.3K
Trade Count
3,601
Sharpe Ratio
0.53
Sortino Ratio
14.10
Max Drawdown
581.0%
ROI
14.1%
Profit Factor
1.37
Kelly Fraction
0.117
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY8.0¢23Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY8.0¢32.25Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL3.0¢34.48Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY20.7¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY21.1¢5Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY64.0¢9.98Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY62.0¢16.1Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY5.9¢16.94Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL6.3¢15.87Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY26.4¢21.42Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY63.0¢2.12Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY63.0¢12.01Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY35.0¢14.92Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY67.0¢6.16Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY22.3¢5.96Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?BUY24.5¢5Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY65.0¢5Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY36.0¢9.97Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY65.0¢10.21Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?BUY64.0¢1.6Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%14%10–20%9%20–30%14%30–50%13%50–70%5%70–80%7%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.7%
Win Consistency45.0%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity3,601 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,8495d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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